Most people start at the wrong end. They pick a balance out of the air, a million dollars or two million, and then worry about whether they will get there. The number that matters is not the balance. It is what you want to spend each year once you stop working. Settle that, and the balance falls out of it.

In a nutshell

  • A comfortable retirement costs a couple $78,566 a year and a single person $55,923, on the Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia's March 2026 budgets.
  • The balance behind that is $730,000 for a couple and $630,000 for a single person. Far less than most people guess, because a part Age Pension does a lot of the work.
  • A modest retirement needs only $120,000 for a couple, because the full Age Pension covers almost all of it.
  • Want $100,000 a year? On our own modelling that takes about $1,320,000 as a couple, or about $1,680,000 on your own.
  • The median Australian aged 60 to 64 has $203,326. That is the gap worth talking about early.

Start with the spending, not the balance

ASFA has costed retirement budgets for 20 years and updates them every quarter. These are the March quarter 2026 figures, for retirees aged 65 to 84 who are relatively healthy. The first two columns assume you own your home outright.

ComfortableModestModest, rentingAge Pension only
Couple$78,566$52,473$69,002$47,070
Single$55,923$36,434$51,164$31,223

Two things stand out. The Age Pension on its own already covers most of a modest retirement, leaving a couple only about $5,400 a year short. And renting changes everything: a couple renting privately needs $16,529 a year more than a couple who own their home, for a lower standard of living.

What comfortable actually buys

This is the part most people have never seen. Comfortable and modest are not vague adjectives, they are costed line by line. Here is where the money goes each week for a home-owning couple.

Each weekComfortableModestWhat the difference buys
Housing: rates, water, insurance, repairs$162.61$149.77Kitchen and bathroom updates over 20 years
Energy$75.28$64.35Using the air conditioning without watching the meter
Groceries and fresh food$266.15$219.57About $47 a week more on the shop
Household goods and services$101.41$47.76Appliances, broadband, a better phone, professional haircuts
Clothing and footwear$55.48$42.39Replacing worn items, not making do
Transport$210.19$126.24A reasonable car, properly insured and maintained
Health$229.70$117.22Top-level private health cover instead of basic
Leisure, dining and holidays$345.27$192.14Dinners out, club membership, one overseas trip every seven years
Total each week$1,505.10$1,005.23About $500 a week, or $26,093 a year

Read down that last column and the gap becomes concrete. It is about $500 a week, and it buys private health cover, a car you can rely on, meals out and a holiday. That is not luxury. It is the difference between watching every bill and not having to.

The balances behind those budgets

ASFA also publishes the lump sum needed at 67 to fund each budget. These assume you own your home, draw down all your capital over your retirement, and receive a part Age Pension along the way.

Standard of livingCoupleSingle
Comfortable$730,000$630,000
Modest, home owner$120,000$110,000
Modest, renting privately$385,000$340,000

The modest figures surprise people. Only $120,000 for a couple? That is the Age Pension doing the heavy lifting. It is already paying $47,070, so the super only has to close a small gap and cover the occasional large bill. It is also why a couple and a single person need almost the same amount at that level.

The same effect works in your favour at the comfortable level. A couple with $730,000 does not fund $78,566 a year out of their own capital for 25 years. As the balance falls, the part Age Pension rises to meet them. Miss that, and you will badly overestimate what you need.

What if you want more than comfortable?

ASFA stops at comfortable. Plenty of people want more: overseas travel every year rather than every seventh year, helping the children, or simply not dropping their standard of living the day they stop working. ASFA publishes no figure for that, so we modelled it ourselves.

To draw $100,000 a year from 67, indexed, with the capital fully run down by 92, takes about $1,320,000 as a couple or about $1,680,000 on your own. That assumes home ownership, a net return of 5.5 per cent a year in retirement, inflation of 2.5 per cent, and any Age Pension assessed under the rates current at September 2026.

Note that a single person needs more than a couple to fund the same $100,000. That is not a mistake. At this level neither receives an Age Pension at first, but the couple's part pension switches on much earlier as their balance falls, because the couple thresholds are far more generous. A single person is largely on their own.

Run your own numbers. Our calculator works out the balance your target income needs, projects what you are on track for, and shows the gap and what closes it.

Open the calculator →

The reality check

Against those targets, here is what Australians actually hold. These are ATO figures covering everyone with a balance above zero.

Age groupMen, medianWomen, medianEveryone, median
30 to 34$42,962$38,070
60 to 64$236,126$174,655$203,326
All ages, 15 and over$71,914$57,688$63,339

The median Australian approaching retirement has $203,326, about a third of what a comfortable single retirement takes. Note the gap between men and women at 60 to 64 as well, $61,471, still there after a lifetime of the same rules. For couples what matters is the household total, so the split between the two accounts is worth planning deliberately.

So are you on track?

The useful question is not what you will have at 67, but what you should have today. The table below shows the balance you would need at each age to reach the target at 67 on the 12 per cent employer super guarantee alone, with no extra contributions. It assumes a salary of $110,000 at age 30 growing at 3 per cent a year, a net return of 6.5 per cent a year while you are working, and everything in today's dollars.

You are aiming forAt 30At 40At 50At 60
Comfortable, single ($630,000)On track$11,000$166,000$400,000
Comfortable, couple (each partner)On trackOn track$27,000$197,000
$100,000 a year, single ($1,680,000)$165,000$385,000$713,000$1,203,000
$100,000 a year, couple (each partner)On track$22,000$181,000$422,000

The encouraging finding is in the top two rows. On a $110,000 salary the employer super guarantee on its own lands at about $1,000,000 by 67, more than a comfortable retirement needs. If you are on a solid income and have been in the system since your twenties, comfortable is very likely already within reach without doing anything heroic.

The bottom two rows are the harder ones. Anything much above comfortable will not arrive on the super guarantee alone. That is where deliberate extra contributions, and the order you make them in, start to matter.

These are our numbers on our assumptions, and they are on the optimistic side of the range. ASFA runs its own age-by-age check, the Super Balance Detective, on a lower income and more conservative returns, and it lands higher at every age. Both are worth looking at.

Three ways to close a gap

Use the whole concessional cap. The cap is $32,500 in 2026-27 and your employer's 12 per cent rarely fills it. On a $110,000 salary that leaves roughly $19,300 of room. Salary sacrifice or a personal deductible contribution is taxed at 15 per cent instead of your marginal rate.

Catch up on unused cap. If your total super is under $500,000, unused cap from the past five years can be used in one hit. Useful in a year with a bonus, a capital gain or an inheritance.

Even up a couple's balances. Spouse contributions, contribution splitting and the government co-contribution move money to the lower balance. Two moderate balances are usually taxed better in retirement than one large one and one small one.

There is also the lever nobody markets: time. The long-run return on super has been 7.1 per cent a year over the past decade, 4.2 per cent after inflation. Money contributed in your thirties does far more work than the same money contributed in your fifties.

The bottom line

A comfortable retirement is a more reachable number than most people fear, because the Age Pension carries part of the load. Anything above comfortable is a different exercise, and it rewards starting early. The right first step is not a bigger contribution. It is deciding what you actually want retirement to cost.

Navarino Wealth Pty Ltd (ABN 91 691 312 937) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (No. 1318210), and Luke Smith is an Authorised Representative (No. 377 450), of PFP Financial Services Pty Ltd, AFSL 535484. This article contains general information only and does not consider your objectives, financial situation or needs. Figures are drawn from the ASFA Retirement Standard (March quarter 2026 budgets and the February 2026 lump sum explainer), ASFA Superannuation Statistics (July 2026, reporting ATO balances at June 2024), and Services Australia Age Pension rates and thresholds current at September 2026; Age Pension payment rates are indexed on 20 September 2026. Modelling described as our own is illustrative, depends heavily on its assumptions, and is not a forecast. You should consider whether the information is appropriate for you and seek personal advice before acting.